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	<title>Central Coast Mortgage .org &#187; Mortgage Headlines</title>
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		<title>Central Coast Mortgage .org &#187; Mortgage Headlines</title>
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		<title>Rates have changed&#8230; Temporary? Probably not&#8230;.</title>
		<link>http://mattgoulart.wordpress.com/2008/09/18/rates-have-changed-temporary-probably-not/</link>
		<comments>http://mattgoulart.wordpress.com/2008/09/18/rates-have-changed-temporary-probably-not/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 18 Sep 2008 20:03:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Matt Goulart</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Mortgage Headlines]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[With the supposed elimination of the adverse market fee FNMA and Freddie Mac have been charging lenders, as well as the decline of &#8220;risk based pricing&#8221; and &#8220;Loan level price adjustments&#8221;&#8230; One would hope lenders will pass some of the savings onto consumers through mortgage brokerages within the next few months.
We&#8217;ll see&#8230; they seem to [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=mattgoulart.wordpress.com&blog=3368777&post=40&subd=mattgoulart&ref=&feed=1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class='snap_preview'><br /><p>With the supposed elimination of the adverse market fee FNMA and Freddie Mac have been charging lenders, as well as the decline of &#8220;risk based pricing&#8221; and &#8220;Loan level price adjustments&#8221;&#8230; One would hope lenders will pass some of the savings onto consumers through mortgage brokerages within the next few months.</p>
<p>We&#8217;ll see&#8230; they seem to be holding their profits pretty tight, at least until confidence is renewed in the financial market. <br />
For now, see below! <img src='http://s.wordpress.com/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_smile.gif' alt=':)' class='wp-smiley' /> </p>
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		<title>Housing Recovery Act of 2008 Tax Surprise.</title>
		<link>http://mattgoulart.wordpress.com/2008/08/13/housing-recovery-act-of-2008-tax-surprise/</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 13 Aug 2008 18:03:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Matt Goulart</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[1]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mortgage Headlines]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[I want to take a second to thank Allyson Nakasone for sharing this article which she received from Michael Gray, CPA&#8217;s Tax &#38; Business Insight. Please read below:
Housing Act includes a tax surprise.
President Bush signed The Housing Assistance Act of 2008 (H.R. 3221) on July 30, 2008. The tax part of this legislation is The Housing Assistance Tax Act of [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=mattgoulart.wordpress.com&blog=3368777&post=29&subd=mattgoulart&ref=&feed=1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class='snap_preview'><br /><h3 style="margin:auto 0;"><span style="color:#000000;font-family:&quot;"><span style="font-size:small;"><em>I want to take a second to thank Allyson Nakasone for sharing this article which she received from Michael Gray, CPA&#8217;s Tax &amp; Business Insight. Please read below:</em></span></span></h3>
<h3 style="margin:auto 0;"><span style="color:#000000;font-family:&quot;"><span style="font-size:large;">Housing Act includes a tax surprise.</span></span></h3>
<p><span style="font-size:11pt;color:#000000;font-family:&quot;">President Bush signed<span class="apple-converted-space"> </span><em>The Housing Assistance Act of 2008</em><span class="apple-converted-space"> </span>(H.R. 3221) on July 30, 2008. The tax part of this legislation is<span class="apple-converted-space"> </span><em>The Housing Assistance Tax Act of 2008.</em></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:11pt;background:yellow;color:#000000;font-family:&quot;">The big surprise in the tax act that isn&#8217;t being widely discussed is a cutback in the home sale exclusion.</span><span style="font-size:11pt;color:#000000;font-family:&quot;"> The reduction applies for home sales in tax years after 2008. Gain eligible for the $250,000 exclusion for single persons, $500,000 for married, filing joint returns, is reduced for periods of non-qualifying use after 2008. For example, if you convert a principal residence to a vacation home or a rental, the gain eligible for exclusion is reduced for the period of non-qualified use. (Temporary absences, such as for a vacation or for medical treatment, still count as qualified use.) <span style="background:yellow;">This is a major change that many people won&#8217;t understand, and is especially important for real estate investors who convert a principal residence either to or from rental or vacation property.</span></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:11pt;background:yellow;color:#000000;font-family:&quot;">For example, John Taxpayer, a single person, bought a residence on January 1, 2007. It was his principal residence until December 31, 2008. He used it as a vacation home starting January 1, 2009. John sells the house on December 31, 2010 and has a $200,000 gain. Before the change in the tax law, the entire gain would be eligible for the $250,000 exclusion, resulting in no tax. After the change in the tax law, only one-half of the gain is eligible for the exclusion, the other $100,000 is taxable as a long-term capital gain.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size:11pt;color:#000000;font-family:&quot;">The Act also includes a tax credit for first-time home buyers. The credit is 10% of the purchase price of a home, up to $7,500 ($3,750 for married taxpayers filing a separate income tax return. The credit is phased out for married persons filing a joint income tax return with modified adjusted gross income from $150,000 to $170,000, and for single taxpayers with modified gross income from $75,000 to $95,000. The credit is effective for homes purchased from April 9, 2008 through June 30, 2009. The credit is actually an interest-free loan that is repaid over a 15-year period. The balance must be repaid if the home is sold before the repayment period is over. A &#8220;first-time homebuyer&#8221; is defined as a person who had no ownership interest in a principal residence during the three-year period before the new home is purchased.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span><span style="font-size:small;font-family:Times New Roman;"> </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-size:small;font-family:Times New Roman;"> </span></p>
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		<title>Ouch! Mortgage Rates Increase&#8230;.</title>
		<link>http://mattgoulart.wordpress.com/2008/07/21/ouch-mortgage-rates-increase/</link>
		<comments>http://mattgoulart.wordpress.com/2008/07/21/ouch-mortgage-rates-increase/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 21 Jul 2008 22:42:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Matt Goulart</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Mortgage Headlines]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Please read the following snippet below from last Thursday (AP), (edited down, of course).
 
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
NEW YORK (AP) THURSDAY 07.18.08 &#8212; Treasury prices fell sharply Thursday as several upbeat earnings reports, falling energy prices and an unexpected jump in housing starts alleviated some of investors&#8217; concerns about the economy. The news lured investors back into stocks and [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=mattgoulart.wordpress.com&blog=3368777&post=25&subd=mattgoulart&ref=&feed=1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class='snap_preview'><br /><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-size:small;font-family:Calibri;">Please read the following snippet below from last Thursday (AP), (edited down, of course).</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-size:small;font-family:Calibri;"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-size:small;font-family:Calibri;">~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-size:9.5pt;color:#1f497d;font-family:&quot;">NEW YORK (AP) THURSDAY 07.18.08 &#8212; Treasury prices fell sharply Thursday as several upbeat earnings reports, falling energy prices and an unexpected jump in housing starts alleviated some of investors&#8217; concerns about the economy. The news lured investors back into stocks and away from the relative safety of government debt. </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-size:9.5pt;color:#1f497d;font-family:&quot;">Treasurys were benefiting earlier in the week as Wall Street fell on uneasiness about the financial services sector and the broader economy. </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-size:9.5pt;color:#1f497d;font-family:&quot;">Stocks also soared because the price of oil declined sharply for the third straight day. </span><span style="font-size:9.5pt;color:#ff0000;font-family:&quot;">The Dow Jones industrials rose more than 200 points and logged the best two-day percentage gain since October 2002. </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-size:9.5pt;color:#1f497d;font-family:&quot;">Kevin Giddis, managing director of fixed income at Morgan Keegan, said the bond market will remain choppy until stocks appear to stick with a direction; advances like the surge on Wall Street the past two sessions have often been given back quickly. Investors have jumped between both markets depending on the strength of corporate and economic news. </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-size:9.5pt;color:#1f497d;font-family:&quot;">&#8220;This has been a wild and crazy last few days, and the focus is on the credit markets,&#8221; he said. &#8220;We&#8217;re bouncing back and forth on this safe-haven play all day long, and we will have volatility until we get a better idea about earnings, credit and the economy.&#8221; </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-size:9.5pt;font-family:&quot;">~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-size:small;font-family:Calibri;">Unfortunately, the trend continued through Friday, leaving us with some of the highest rates we’ve seen this year.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-size:small;font-family:Calibri;">However, as Kevin Giddis said above,</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-size:small;font-family:Calibri;">“</span><span style="font-size:9.5pt;font-family:&quot;">Advances like the surge on Wall Street the past two sessions have often been given back quickly.”</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-size:9.5pt;font-family:&quot;">And this week is chocked full of economic reports which hopefully will bring our rates back to the level we started the beginning of last week&#8230;</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-size:9.5pt;font-family:&quot;">I will keep you posted as we move forward. </span><span style="font-size:9.5pt;font-family:Wingdings;">J</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-size:9.5pt;font-family:&quot;">I hope you all have a great Monday, please be sure to give me a call or send me an email if you can refer anyone who is thinking of purchasing or refinancing. </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-size:9.5pt;font-family:&quot;">Hope to hear from you soon,</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-size:9.5pt;font-family:&quot;">Matt</span></p>
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		<title>Thinking of buying a new home and renting out your current residence?</title>
		<link>http://mattgoulart.wordpress.com/2008/07/08/thinking-of-buying-a-new-home-and-renting-out-your-current-residence/</link>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 08 Jul 2008 18:57:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Matt Goulart</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Mortgage Headlines]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Well, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac dont believe you. 
 
 
Unless that is, you have at least 30% equity in your home. 
Which unfortunately&#8230;. most of us don&#8217;t. 
 
 
Many people out there have been taking advantage of the low market and qualifying by stating that their old home will be used as a rental. Once they close escrow [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=mattgoulart.wordpress.com&blog=3368777&post=23&subd=mattgoulart&ref=&feed=1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class='snap_preview'><br /><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-size:14pt;color:#002060;"><span style="font-family:Calibri;">Well, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac dont believe you. </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-size:14pt;color:#002060;"><span style="font-family:Calibri;">Unless that is, you have at least 30% equity in your home. </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-size:14pt;color:#002060;"><span style="font-family:Calibri;">Which unfortunately&#8230;. most of us don&#8217;t. </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-size:14pt;color:#002060;"><span style="font-family:Calibri;">Many people out there have been taking advantage of the low market and qualifying by stating that their old home will be used as a rental. Once they close escrow on the new home, they stop making payments and let the bank foreclose on the old one. </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-size:14pt;color:#002060;"><span style="font-family:Calibri;">Frankly, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, (FNMA &amp; FHLMC) aren&#8217;t &#8220;buying it&#8221; anymore, (Pun totally intended). They&#8217;ve updated their guidelines; and us as mortgage brokers need to follow their new rules.</span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-size:14pt;color:#002060;"><span style="font-family:Calibri;">In summation, if a borrower is purchasing a home without selling their current residence….</span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-size:14pt;color:#002060;"><span style="font-family:Calibri;">Unless they have 30% equity in the property they are moving from, they will not be allowed to use any proposed rental income.</span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-size:14pt;color:#002060;"><span style="font-family:Calibri;">They must then qualify for both payments and have enough reserves to cover both payments for 6 months.</span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-size:small;font-family:Calibri;"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-size:small;font-family:Calibri;"> </span></p>
<p class="default" style="margin:0;"><strong><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><span><span style="font-size:small;">Converting a primary residence to an investment property (during a new purchase transaction):</span></span></span></strong></p>
<p class="default" style="margin:0;"><span><span style="font-size:small;">Fannie Mae will continue to permit up to 75% of the rental income to be used to offset the mortgage payment in qualifying if there is documented equity of at least 30% in the existing property (derived from an appraisal, AVM, or BPO, minus outstanding liens). </span></span></p>
<p class="default" style="margin:0;"><span><span style="font-size:small;">The rental income must be documented with: </span></span></p>
<p class="default" style="text-indent:-0.25in;margin:0 0 0 0.75in;"><span style="font-family:Symbol;"><span><span style="font-size:small;">·</span><span style="font:7pt;">         </span></span></span><strong><span style="font-size:small;"><span>a copy of the fully executed lease agreement; and </span></span></strong></p>
<p class="default" style="text-indent:-0.25in;margin:0 0 0 0.75in;"><span style="font-family:Symbol;"><span><span style="font-size:small;">·</span><span style="font:7pt;">         </span></span></span><span style="font-size:small;"><strong><span>the receipt of a security deposit from the tenant and deposit into the borrower’s account.</span></strong></span></p>
<p class="default" style="margin:0;"><span><span style="font-size:small;"> </span></span></p>
<p class="default" style="margin:0;"><span style="font-size:small;"><strong><span>If the 30% equity in the property cannot be documented</span></strong><span>, rental income may not be used to offset the mortgage payment. </span></span></p>
<p class="default" style="text-indent:-0.25in;margin:0 0 0 0.75in;"><span style="font-family:Symbol;"><span><span style="font-size:small;">·</span><span style="font:7pt;">         </span></span></span><strong><span style="font-size:small;"><span>Both the current and the proposed mortgage payments must be used to qualify the borrower for the new transaction; and </span></span></strong></p>
<p class="default" style="text-indent:-0.25in;margin:0 0 0 0.75in;"><span style="font-family:Symbol;"><span><span style="font-size:small;">·</span><span style="font:7pt;">         </span></span></span><span style="font-size:small;"><strong><span>6 months of PITI for <span style="text-decoration:underline;">both </span>properties is required to be in reserves</span></strong><strong><span style="color:#0000ff;"> </span></strong></span></p>
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<p class="default" style="text-align:justify;margin:0;"><span><span style="font-size:small;">These guidelines are applicable to manually underwritten loans and, except for the additional reserve requirements, must also be applied (on a manual basis) to loan casefiles underwritten with DO/DU. DO/DU will determine the level of reserves for each loan casefile. </span></span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><strong><span><span style="font-size:small;">All of the above guidelines go into effect August 1, 2008<span style="color:#0000ff;">.</span></span></span></strong></p>
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		<title>Housing Crisis Over?   Well&#8230;. We&#8217;re getting there.</title>
		<link>http://mattgoulart.wordpress.com/2008/05/12/housing-crisis-over-well-were-getting-there/</link>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 12 May 2008 23:21:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Matt Goulart</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Mortgage Headlines]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[






 






Stolen From the Wall Street Journal: http://online.wsj.com/public/us

 


 



 






 



DOW JONES REPRINTS 


The Housing Crisis Is Over
By CYRIL MOULLE-BERTEAUX
May 6, 2008; Page A23
The dire headlines coming fast and furious in the financial and popular press suggest that the housing crisis is intensifying. Yet it is very likely that April 2008 will mark the bottom of the U.S. housing market. Yes, [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=mattgoulart.wordpress.com&blog=3368777&post=20&subd=mattgoulart&ref=&feed=1" />]]></description>
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<p style="text-align:center;margin:4.75pt 0 0;" align="center"><strong><span style="font-size:10pt;font-family:&quot;">Stolen From the Wall Street Journal: <a href="http://online.wsj.com/public/us">http://online.wsj.com/public/us</a></span></strong></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><span class="boldtwelve1"><span style="font-size:8pt;font-family:&quot;"><strong>DOW JONES REPRINTS</strong></span></span><span style="font-family:&quot;"><span style="font-size:small;"> </span></span></p>
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<h1 style="margin:0;"><span style="font-size:16.5pt;"><span style="font-family:Times New Roman;">The Housing Crisis Is Over</span></span></h1>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0;"><strong><span style="font-size:8pt;"><span style="font-family:Calibri;">By CYRIL MOULLE-BERTEAUX<br />
</span></span></strong><em><span style="color:#666666;"><span style="font-family:Times New Roman;"><span class="atime1"><strong><span style="font-size:7.5pt;">May 6, 2008; Page A23</span></strong></span><strong><span style="font-size:8pt;"></span></strong></span></span></em></p>
<p class="times" style="margin:auto 0;"><span style="font-size:small;"><span style="font-family:Times New Roman;">The dire headlines coming fast and furious in the financial and popular press suggest that the housing crisis is intensifying. Yet it is very likely that April 2008 will mark the bottom of the U.S. housing market. Yes, the housing market is bottoming right now.</span></span></p>
<p class="times" style="margin:auto 0;"><span style="font-size:small;"><span style="font-family:Times New Roman;">How can this be? For starters, a bottom does not mean that prices are about to return to the heady days of 2005. That probably won&#8217;t happen for another 15 years. It just means that the trend is no longer getting worse, which is the critical factor.</span></span></p>
<p class="times" style="margin:auto 0;"><span style="font-size:small;"><span style="font-family:Times New Roman;">Most people forget that the current housing bust is nearly three years old. Home sales peaked in July 2005. New home sales are down a staggering 63% from peak levels of 1.4 million. Housing starts have fallen more than 50% and, adjusted for population growth, are back to the trough levels of 1982.</span></span></p>
<p class="times" style="margin:auto 0;"><span style="font-size:small;"><span style="font-family:Times New Roman;">Furthermore, residential construction is close to 15-year lows at 3.8% of GDP; by the fourth quarter of this year, it will probably hit the lowest level ever. So what&#8217;s going to stop the housing decline? Very simply, the same thing that caused the bust: affordability.</span></span></p>
<p class="times" style="margin:auto 0;"><span style="font-size:small;"><span style="font-family:Times New Roman;">The boom made housing unaffordable for many American families, especially first-time home buyers. During the 1990s and early 2000s, it took 19% of average monthly income to service a conforming mortgage on the average home purchased. By 2005 and 2006, it was absorbing 25% of monthly income. For first time buyers, it went from 29% of income to 37%. That just proved to be too much.</span></span></p>
<p class="times" style="margin:auto 0;"><span style="font-size:small;"><span style="font-family:Times New Roman;">Prices got so high that people who intended to actually live in the houses they purchased (as opposed to speculators) stopped buying. This caused the bubble to burst.</span></span></p>
<p class="times" style="margin:auto 0;"><span style="font-size:small;"><span style="font-family:Times New Roman;">Since then, house prices have fallen 10%-15%, while incomes have kept growing (albeit more slowly recently) and mortgage rates have come down 70 basis points from their highs. As a result, it now takes 19% of monthly income for the average home buyer, and 31% of monthly income for the first-time home buyer, to purchase a house. In other words, homes on average are back to being as affordable as during the best of times in the 1990s. Numerous households that had been priced out of the market can now afford to get in.</span></span></p>
<p class="times" style="margin:auto 0;"><span style="font-size:small;"><span style="font-family:Times New Roman;">The next question is: Even if home sales pick up, how can home prices stop falling with so many houses vacant and unsold? The flip but true answer: because they always do.</span></span></p>
<p class="times" style="margin:auto 0;"><span style="font-size:small;"><span style="font-family:Times New Roman;">In the past five major housing market corrections (and there were some big ones, such as in the early 1980s when home sales also fell by 50%-60% and prices fell 12%-15% in real terms), every time home sales bottomed, the pace of house-price declines halved within one or two months.</span></span></p>
<p class="times" style="margin:auto 0;"><span style="font-size:small;"><span style="font-family:Times New Roman;">The explanation is that by the time home sales stop declining, inventories of unsold homes have usually already started falling in absolute terms and begin to peak out in &#8220;months of supply&#8221; terms. That&#8217;s the case right now: New home inventories peaked at 598,000 homes in July 2006, and stand at 482,000 homes as of the end of March. This inventory is equivalent to 11 months of supply, a 25-year high – but it is similar to 1974, 1982 and 1991 levels, which saw a subsequent slowing in home-price declines within the next six months.</span></span></p>
<p class="times" style="margin:auto 0;"><span style="font-size:small;"><span style="font-family:Times New Roman;">Inventories are declining because construction activity has been falling for such a long time that home completions are now just about undershooting new home sales. In a few months, completions of new homes for sale could be undershooting new home sales by 50,000-100,000 annually.</span></span></p>
<p class="times" style="margin:auto 0;"><span style="font-size:small;"><span style="font-family:Times New Roman;">Inventories will drop even faster to 400,000 – or seven months of supply – by the end of 2008. This shift in inventories will have a significant impact on prices, although house prices won&#8217;t stop falling entirely until inventories reach five months of supply sometime in 2009. A five-month supply has historically signaled tightness in the housing market.</span></span></p>
<p class="times" style="margin:auto 0;"><span style="font-size:small;"><span style="font-family:Times New Roman;">Many pundits claim that house prices need to fall <em>another</em> 30% to bring them back in line with where they&#8217;ve been historically. This is usually based on an analysis of house prices adjusted for inflation: Real house prices are 30% above their 40-year, inflation-adjusted average, so they must fall 30%. This simplistic analysis is appealing on the surface, but is flawed for a variety of reasons.</span></span></p>
<p class="times" style="margin:auto 0;"><span style="font-size:small;"><span style="font-family:Times New Roman;">Most importantly, it neglects the fact that a great majority of Americans buy their houses with mortgages. And if one buys a house with a mortgage, the most important factor in deciding what to pay for the house is how much of one&#8217;s income is required to be able to make the mortgage payments on the house. Today the rate on a 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage is 5.7%. Back in 1981, the rate hit 18.5%. Comparing today&#8217;s house prices to the 1970s or 1980s, when mortgage rates were stratospheric, is misguided and misleading.</span></span></p>
<p class="times" style="margin:auto 0;"><span style="font-size:small;"><span style="font-family:Times New Roman;">This is all good news for the broader economy. The housing bust has been subtracting a full percentage point from GDP for almost two years now, which is very large for a sector that represents less than 5% of economic activity.</span></span></p>
<p class="times" style="margin:auto 0;"><span style="font-size:small;"><span style="font-family:Times New Roman;">When the rate of house-price declines halves, there will be a wholesale shift in markets&#8217; perceptions. All of a sudden, the expected value of the collateral (i.e. houses) for much of the lending that went on for the past decade will change. Right now, when valuing the collateral, market participants including banks are extrapolating the current pace of house price declines for another two to three years; this has a significant impact on the amount of delinquencies, foreclosures and credit losses that lenders are expected to face.</span></span></p>
<p class="times" style="margin:auto 0;"><span style="font-size:small;"><span style="font-family:Times New Roman;">More home sales and smaller price declines means fewer homeowners will be underwater on their mortgages. They will thus have less incentive to walk away and opt for foreclosure.</span></span></p>
<p class="times" style="margin:auto 0;"><span style="font-size:small;"><span style="font-family:Times New Roman;">A milder house-price decline scenario could lead to increases in the market value of a lot of the securitized mortgages that have been responsible for $300 billion of write-downs in the past year. Even if write-backs do not occur, stabilizing collateral values will have a huge impact on the markets&#8217; perception of risk related to housing, the financial system, and the economy.</span></span></p>
<p class="times" style="margin:auto 0;"><span style="font-size:small;"><span style="font-family:Times New Roman;">We are of course experiencing a serious housing bust, with serious economic consequences that are still unfolding. The odds are that the reverberations will lead to subtrend growth for a couple of years. Nonetheless, housing led us into this credit crisis and this recession. It is likely to lead us out. And that process is underway, right now.</span></span></p>
<p class="times" style="margin:auto 0;"><strong><span style="font-size:small;font-family:Times New Roman;">Mr. Moulle-Berteaux is managing partner of Traxis Partners LP, a hedge fund firm based in New York.</span></strong></p>
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		<title>Is There Really Such A Thing As A &#8220;No Closing Cost&#8221; Mortgage?</title>
		<link>http://mattgoulart.wordpress.com/2008/04/16/is-there-really-such-a-thing-as-a-no-closing-cost-mortgage/</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 16 Apr 2008 04:45:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Matt Goulart</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Mortgage Headlines]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[ 
 
&#8220;If it looks too good to be true, it probably is.&#8221;
 
It seems that about once a month, I get something in the mail offering Lana and I a &#8220;No Closing Cost&#8221; Mortgage&#8230; I did a bit of a Google search and came up with this article written by Juan Boldizsar. He did an outstanding job in [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=mattgoulart.wordpress.com&blog=3368777&post=14&subd=mattgoulart&ref=&feed=1" />]]></description>
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<p><strong> </strong></p>
<p><strong>&#8220;If it looks too good to be true, it probably is.&#8221;</strong></p>
<p><strong> </strong></p>
<p><strong>It seems that about once a month, I get something in <a href="http://mattgoulart.files.wordpress.com/2008/04/premier-logo-new.jpg"></a>the mail offering Lana and I a &#8220;No Closing Cost&#8221; Mortgage&#8230; I did a bit of a Google search and came up with this article written by Juan Boldizsar. He did an outstanding job in answering the question and I thought many of you would find it interesting and easy to understand. Enjoy!!</strong></p>
<p><strong>Here is the full article: <a href="http://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/wiki/Contributors.asp?pID=24890">http://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/wiki/Contributors.asp?pID=24890</a></strong></p>
<p><strong>~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~</strong></p>
<p><strong> </strong>If it looks too good to be true, it probably is. Let me explain&#8230; Even if we omit the lender&#8217;s fees that get charged in connection with a mortgage, there are still third party fees, e.g., title examination and insurance, closing fee, recording fee, flood determination, appraisal etc. None of these parties give away their time, resources or services for free, nor does the mortgage broker or the retail lender who arranges your loan for you. The money to pay these people has to come from somewhere.</p>
<p>Here&#8217;s how it works. Banks and mortgage companies make lots and lots of loans. They pool them together and use them as collateral for loans that they get from institutional investors. This process is referred to as &#8220;<a href="http://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/wiki/Mortgage_Backed_Securities.asp">securitization</a>.&#8221; The loans they get are in the form of bonds that they sell in the financial markets, i.e., Wall Street. When the institutional investors like hedge funds, pension funds, insurance companies etc. buy these bonds, they expect a certain return on their investment. This rate of return is referred to as the bonds&#8217; yield. This describes the rate of interest that the investors earn from these bonds.</p>
<p> So, if a lender figures that on a given day, they can borrow money at 6%, lend it at 7% and cover their overhead and make a reasonable profit, the rate you will see advertised in the paper will be 7%. If they have to pay your closing costs they have to charge a higher rate if they still want to be able to cover their overhead and generate money for their shareholders. By charging a higher rate, they get paid more for the pools of loans that get turned into bonds. That extra money is used to pay your closing costs when you get one of those &#8220;no closing cost&#8221; loans.</p>
<p>All of that being said, the important thing to know is not whether there really is such a thing as a &#8220;no closing cost loan&#8221; &#8212; because in reality, there isn&#8217;t &#8212; but rather whether what gets referred to as a &#8220;no closing cost loan&#8221; makes sense in your particular situation. For instance, let&#8217;s say currently have a loan that has a rate of 8% and you have a choice of refinancing into a loan with closing costs that carries a rate of 6% and one that has no closing costs and a rate of 6.5%. Assume that the difference between the monthly payments is $100 and that for the loan with the lower payment the closing costs add up to $5000. By paying closing costs, you save a hundred dollars for every month that you keep the loan past month number fifty. On the other hand, if you plan on keeping the loan for less than 50 months, it doesn&#8217;t make sense to pay the closing costs because the total monthly savings don&#8217;t cover them.</p>
<p>Before we finish, let me make it clear that the numbers used in my example are for illustrative purposes only. When you are out shopping for a loan, you should <strong>consult with an experienced and knowledgeable</strong> mortgage professional. Ask that person to give you a &#8220;break-even&#8221; analysis so you can determine whether paying closing costs or going with a &#8220;no closing cost loan&#8221; makes more financial sense for your particular situation.</p>
<p><strong>~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~</strong></p>
<p><strong>For my clients, I will usually issue a few different Good Faith Estimates in order to examine the different types of loan programs we offer. Next, we&#8217;ll narrow down which program makes the most sense for the clients overall financial goals. </strong></p>
<p><strong>Once a program is decided upon, we will look at a few different Good Faith Estimates with different rates and fees for the same program. That way, it is clear what, (if any) benefit will result in paying down the rate in the form of points, or the extreme opposite of raising the rate to pay for the loan and 3rd party fees.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Generally speaking, I do not recommend paying points to lower an interest rate, unless the borrower is positive they will be keeping the loan long term or the property is an investment. However, I also do not typically recommend &#8220;no cost&#8221; loans because of the amount that the rate must increase in order to pay the fees&#8230; </strong></p>
<p><strong>I feel that with experience and proper mortgage planning comes finding that &#8220;happy medium&#8221; required to put together the perfect loan.  </strong></p>
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